Browsing by Author "Msumba, Keneth"
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Item Statistical analysis and modeling of prevalence of malaria in Nyasa district-Tanzania(The University of Dodoma, 2018) Msumba, KenethMalaria remains a major cause of morbidity and mortality, leading more than 600 million cases and two million deaths each year Worldwide. Over 90% of these cases occur in sub-Saharan Africa where Falciparum Malaria is pervasive and the major killer of children less than 5 years old. This study was conducted to figure out the demographic factors that influence the prevalence of Malaria in Nyasa District and to assess the level of knowledge and awareness on malaria incurred by the domicile of Nyasa district. A cross-sectional research design was applied and data were collected by systematic random sampling. The demographic factors considered were age of respondent, sex of respondent, place of residence, level of education and level of income. Binary logistic regression models were developed on the available information to assess the effects of malaria on households. Also the awareness and prevention practices were evaluated. The model identifies the prevalence of malaria (proportion of cases of malaria) under the influence of factors in Nyasa District, which will help planners and other stakeholders on how to overcome the problem of malaria. The results show that demographic variables had significant effect on the prevalence of Malaria in Nyasa District. Also an adequate model was suggested using Hosmer and Lemeshow test and the prevalence is predicted. The government, health care NGOs and other stakeholders have to give due attention to improve awareness on malaria and to maintain a hygienic living conditions to the people of Nyasa as to eradicate the disease in the next decade.